The Chick-Fil-A Bowl: Virginia Tech vs. Tennessee
While Tennessee has been a pleasant surprise in their turn around, Virginia Tech is still a better team. Like I said a while back, VA Tech’s defense is perhaps the best in this decade at turning turnovers into points. That should be what leads VA tech to victory tonight, with the strong running of Ryan Williams.
Prospects to Watch in this Game
Virginia Tech, Cornerback, Stephen Virgil: Yet another of the solid corner prospects to come out of Virginia Tech in the past couple of years. He is a little on the smallish size and his makeup speed is questionable, but the pedigree he has coming from this program should garner him plenty of attention come draft day.
Tennessee, Defensive Tackle, Dan Williams: A big body in the middle, Williams has had his draft stock shooting skyward in the past few weeks. He has enough athleticism to pressure the quarterback, but also enough size to stuff the run. The fact that he hasn’t been heard from until this year does raise an eyebrow or two, but he is likely to come off the board in the first two rounds come April.
Thursday, December 31, 2009
The Armed Forces, Sun, Texas and Insight Bowls
The Armed Forces Bowl: Air Force vs. Houston
While Houston has the best passing attack in the country, Air Force has one of the best pass defenses. The mix of offensive formations used by Air Force should work to confuse the Houston defense. In this high scoring affair, Houston’s Case Keenum should be able to pick apart the Air Force defense. Houston Wins.
Prospects to Watch in this Game
Houston, Quarterback, Case Keenum: While only a junior, Keenum has become one of the best passers in the country, quickly gaining the status that Houston legend Kevin Kolb had. While Keenum will likely be back next year, He’s the most likely of the players in this game to be drafted. Probably later than when Kolb was drafted, but he should develop a bit quicker.
Due to the military commitment, Air Force has no draftable players.
The Sun Bowl: Stanford vs. Oklahoma
Oklahoma has had a strong defense this season and a surprise in how quickly Landry Jones has stepped in and filled in for Sam Bradford. I’ll make a bold statement and say that Jones is a better player than Bradford. It’ll be a tough matchup seeing Toby Gerhart the thumper, against big Gerald McCoy. I personally think Landry Jones will pick apart the Stanford defense and that the Oklahoma defense will be able to shut down the one dimensional Stanford offense (without Andrew Luck). Oklahoma wins.
Prospects to Watch in this Game
Stanford, Runningback, Toby Gerhart: Big physical runningback, who runs hard and has led the nation in rushing yards and rushing touchdowns. This will be a good chance for Gerhart to solidify his draft status in facing one of the best defensive tackles prospects in this up coming draft in Gerald McCoy.
Oklahoma, Defensive End, Auston English: A speed rusher who greatly benefits from the presence of Gerald McCoy, but who also has a great deal of promise of his own. While only a late round prospect, he still has good promise.
The Texas Bowl: Missouri vs. Navy
This game is very simple to explain. The Triple-option that Navy runs is almost always ineffective when a team has a number of weeks to prep for it. Missouri wins.
Prospects to Watch in this Game
Missouri, Wide Receiver, Danario Alexander: One would have thought that Missouri would not have been able to find a replacement for Jeremy Maclin so soon. While not the all-purpose threat that Maclin was, Alexander has had excellent on-field production and has enough speed to get a good look in 2-3 round.
Navy has no draftable prospects due to military commitments.
The Insight Bowl: Minnesota vs. Iowa State
Minnesota is without their best offensive player in Eric Decker. However, Adam Weber has played well-enough over the course of the season to be able to beat a farily weak Iowa State defense. Minnesota wins.
Prospects to Watch in this Game
Minnesota, Linebacker, Simoni Lawrence: While not having the best size or athleticism, Lawrence is a tackling machine and has pretty good recognition skills. A late Round prospect.
Iowa State, Guard, Reggie Stephens: A strong player, who has good enough athleticism to work the pulls and kickout blocks that are required of good guards. Is a mid round prospect, but has potential.
While Houston has the best passing attack in the country, Air Force has one of the best pass defenses. The mix of offensive formations used by Air Force should work to confuse the Houston defense. In this high scoring affair, Houston’s Case Keenum should be able to pick apart the Air Force defense. Houston Wins.
Prospects to Watch in this Game
Houston, Quarterback, Case Keenum: While only a junior, Keenum has become one of the best passers in the country, quickly gaining the status that Houston legend Kevin Kolb had. While Keenum will likely be back next year, He’s the most likely of the players in this game to be drafted. Probably later than when Kolb was drafted, but he should develop a bit quicker.
Due to the military commitment, Air Force has no draftable players.
The Sun Bowl: Stanford vs. Oklahoma
Oklahoma has had a strong defense this season and a surprise in how quickly Landry Jones has stepped in and filled in for Sam Bradford. I’ll make a bold statement and say that Jones is a better player than Bradford. It’ll be a tough matchup seeing Toby Gerhart the thumper, against big Gerald McCoy. I personally think Landry Jones will pick apart the Stanford defense and that the Oklahoma defense will be able to shut down the one dimensional Stanford offense (without Andrew Luck). Oklahoma wins.
Prospects to Watch in this Game
Stanford, Runningback, Toby Gerhart: Big physical runningback, who runs hard and has led the nation in rushing yards and rushing touchdowns. This will be a good chance for Gerhart to solidify his draft status in facing one of the best defensive tackles prospects in this up coming draft in Gerald McCoy.
Oklahoma, Defensive End, Auston English: A speed rusher who greatly benefits from the presence of Gerald McCoy, but who also has a great deal of promise of his own. While only a late round prospect, he still has good promise.
The Texas Bowl: Missouri vs. Navy
This game is very simple to explain. The Triple-option that Navy runs is almost always ineffective when a team has a number of weeks to prep for it. Missouri wins.
Prospects to Watch in this Game
Missouri, Wide Receiver, Danario Alexander: One would have thought that Missouri would not have been able to find a replacement for Jeremy Maclin so soon. While not the all-purpose threat that Maclin was, Alexander has had excellent on-field production and has enough speed to get a good look in 2-3 round.
Navy has no draftable prospects due to military commitments.
The Insight Bowl: Minnesota vs. Iowa State
Minnesota is without their best offensive player in Eric Decker. However, Adam Weber has played well-enough over the course of the season to be able to beat a farily weak Iowa State defense. Minnesota wins.
Prospects to Watch in this Game
Minnesota, Linebacker, Simoni Lawrence: While not having the best size or athleticism, Lawrence is a tackling machine and has pretty good recognition skills. A late Round prospect.
Iowa State, Guard, Reggie Stephens: A strong player, who has good enough athleticism to work the pulls and kickout blocks that are required of good guards. Is a mid round prospect, but has potential.
Wednesday, December 30, 2009
The Humanitarian Bowl and The Holiday Bowl
The Humanitarian Bowl: Idaho vs. Bowling Green
Bowling Green uses a spread offense and has one of the best receivers in the nation (Freddie Barnes) playing for them. Idaho has a surprisingly balanced offense and an ok defense. The biggest issue is that Idaho’s defense has issues pressuring the quarterback. It should be close, but Bowling Green will probably win.
Prospects to Watch in this Game
Bowling Green, Wide Receiver, Freddie Barnes: While only a mid round prospect because of his role in a spread offense and lack of strength and speed, Barnes is a former quarterback and runningback who recognizes defenses well. He also has great toughness and better hands than most would think. Could be another Marques Colston.
Idaho, Offensive Lineman, Mike Iupati: Reminds me a lot of Davin Joseph of the Buccaneers. Big, quicker then one would think and a ferocious blocker. May need some help in dealing with quicker interior linemen, but in general is a solid prospect who should go in the first two rounds.
The Holiday Bowl: Nebraska vs. Arizona
Arizona has had their best season in years and is getting a good bowl game for that hard work. I am picking Nebraska for one main reason; Ndamukong Suh is likely to dominate this game even more than he did the Texas game. He can and will effect a game like no other defensive player in years.
Prospects to Watch in this Game
Nebraska, Defensive Tackle, Ndamukong Suh: The best player in the upcoming draft. He can affect a game like no one. I would dare compare him to Patrick Willis in terms of how good a defensive player he can be.
Nebraska, Safety, Larry Asante: Lost in the play of Suh has been the solid play of the rest of the defense and the support of the safeties in the run game. Asante does have a tendency to over pursue and get out of position, but is a strong enough hitter to contribute on special teams. Mid to late round prospect.
Arizona, Cornerback, Devin Ross: Has good speed for his size and a great wingspan for batting away passes. While he has few interceptions, he excels at tipping the ball and is fluid in transition from the backpedal to playing the ball. He is a mid round prospect, mostly because bigger physical receivers can overwhelm him.
Bowling Green uses a spread offense and has one of the best receivers in the nation (Freddie Barnes) playing for them. Idaho has a surprisingly balanced offense and an ok defense. The biggest issue is that Idaho’s defense has issues pressuring the quarterback. It should be close, but Bowling Green will probably win.
Prospects to Watch in this Game
Bowling Green, Wide Receiver, Freddie Barnes: While only a mid round prospect because of his role in a spread offense and lack of strength and speed, Barnes is a former quarterback and runningback who recognizes defenses well. He also has great toughness and better hands than most would think. Could be another Marques Colston.
Idaho, Offensive Lineman, Mike Iupati: Reminds me a lot of Davin Joseph of the Buccaneers. Big, quicker then one would think and a ferocious blocker. May need some help in dealing with quicker interior linemen, but in general is a solid prospect who should go in the first two rounds.
The Holiday Bowl: Nebraska vs. Arizona
Arizona has had their best season in years and is getting a good bowl game for that hard work. I am picking Nebraska for one main reason; Ndamukong Suh is likely to dominate this game even more than he did the Texas game. He can and will effect a game like no other defensive player in years.
Prospects to Watch in this Game
Nebraska, Defensive Tackle, Ndamukong Suh: The best player in the upcoming draft. He can affect a game like no one. I would dare compare him to Patrick Willis in terms of how good a defensive player he can be.
Nebraska, Safety, Larry Asante: Lost in the play of Suh has been the solid play of the rest of the defense and the support of the safeties in the run game. Asante does have a tendency to over pursue and get out of position, but is a strong enough hitter to contribute on special teams. Mid to late round prospect.
Arizona, Cornerback, Devin Ross: Has good speed for his size and a great wingspan for batting away passes. While he has few interceptions, he excels at tipping the ball and is fluid in transition from the backpedal to playing the ball. He is a mid round prospect, mostly because bigger physical receivers can overwhelm him.
Tuesday, December 29, 2009
My Thoughts on the Pro Bowl rosters
Ok, I'm normally not the on ewho screams from the mountain tops if those I selected for the Pro Bowl don;t get selected. I view the majority of writers (like Clark Judge and Pete Prisco) who call the Pro Bowl "onvalid" because those they would have picked aren;t selected as petty and selfish. Usually I recognize the fact that there often aren;t enough spots in the pro bowl for all the great players in the NFL today.
However there is one selection I have a major problem with. Miles Austin has no right to be compared to players like Larry Ftiagerald and DeSean Jackson. He has had about five or six great games and has otherwise been an ok receiver. Don;t get me wrong, he has made a good case for breakout player of the year. However he hasn't performed at the same level as players like Aquan Bolden, Roddy White or Steve Smith of the Giants. I have no real beef with most of the other players on the teams. He just doesn ;t desrve to be there.
However there is one selection I have a major problem with. Miles Austin has no right to be compared to players like Larry Ftiagerald and DeSean Jackson. He has had about five or six great games and has otherwise been an ok receiver. Don;t get me wrong, he has made a good case for breakout player of the year. However he hasn't performed at the same level as players like Aquan Bolden, Roddy White or Steve Smith of the Giants. I have no real beef with most of the other players on the teams. He just doesn ;t desrve to be there.
Champs Sports Bowl
The Champs Sports Bowl: Miami (Fl.) vs. Wisconsin
Wisconsin is a strong running team and a tough enough defense to pull off some good wins in the Big 10. Miami has returned form the bowl graveyard to a degree. Miami has a well balanced offense and a solid defense. This match up will be intriguing to watch and I’ll say the Miami wins because of the explosiveness of Jacory Harris.
Prospects to Watch in this Game
Wisconsin, Linebacker, O’Brien Schofield: A strong interior player who has better than expected sideline to sideline speed. While only a late round prospect, he projects well as a special teamer.
Miami (Fl.), Linebacker, Darryl Sharpton: If this player is anything like the interior linebackers that has come from Miami in the past, then he will be a great steal. He has better than expected strength and very good speed, though is a bit undersized. Reminds me a little of Derrick Brooks. A mid-round prospect.
Wisconsin is a strong running team and a tough enough defense to pull off some good wins in the Big 10. Miami has returned form the bowl graveyard to a degree. Miami has a well balanced offense and a solid defense. This match up will be intriguing to watch and I’ll say the Miami wins because of the explosiveness of Jacory Harris.
Prospects to Watch in this Game
Wisconsin, Linebacker, O’Brien Schofield: A strong interior player who has better than expected sideline to sideline speed. While only a late round prospect, he projects well as a special teamer.
Miami (Fl.), Linebacker, Darryl Sharpton: If this player is anything like the interior linebackers that has come from Miami in the past, then he will be a great steal. He has better than expected strength and very good speed, though is a bit undersized. Reminds me a little of Derrick Brooks. A mid-round prospect.
Eaglebank Bowl
The Eaglebank Bowl: UCLA vs. Temple
In terms of known talent and in terms of renown, UCLA should destroy Temple. But in terms of balanced offense and actual talent, Temple will make a lot of noise during this game. Temple has one of the best rushing defenses and rushing offenses in the country. This sets up well for the play action passing game. UCLA does matchup well with a solid defense themselves, but their offense is just not good enough. Temple wins.
Prospects to Watch in this Game
UCLA, Defensive Tackle, Brian Price: A junior, but clearly the best prospect on this team. He is strong run defender and has enough athleticism to provide pressure on the pocket. Should go in the early second round, or perhaps even the first round, should he declare.
UCLA, Cornerback, Alterraun Verner: A third-team All-American, Verner is a good cover corner with pretty solid tackling ability. He has good instincts, but there are some questions about his speed. A mid-round prospect.
UCLA, Linebacker, Reggie Carter: This is a prospect who has good speed and can thump in the middle. While he is just a mid round prospect, he has good value as special teamer and backup middle linebacker.
Temple, Defensive Tackle, Andre Neblett: A fair prospect at defensive tackle, who was a key cog in one of the best run defenses in the country. While he likely won’t be drafted, he could get a look in the last two rounds on a hope and a prayer.
In terms of known talent and in terms of renown, UCLA should destroy Temple. But in terms of balanced offense and actual talent, Temple will make a lot of noise during this game. Temple has one of the best rushing defenses and rushing offenses in the country. This sets up well for the play action passing game. UCLA does matchup well with a solid defense themselves, but their offense is just not good enough. Temple wins.
Prospects to Watch in this Game
UCLA, Defensive Tackle, Brian Price: A junior, but clearly the best prospect on this team. He is strong run defender and has enough athleticism to provide pressure on the pocket. Should go in the early second round, or perhaps even the first round, should he declare.
UCLA, Cornerback, Alterraun Verner: A third-team All-American, Verner is a good cover corner with pretty solid tackling ability. He has good instincts, but there are some questions about his speed. A mid-round prospect.
UCLA, Linebacker, Reggie Carter: This is a prospect who has good speed and can thump in the middle. While he is just a mid round prospect, he has good value as special teamer and backup middle linebacker.
Temple, Defensive Tackle, Andre Neblett: A fair prospect at defensive tackle, who was a key cog in one of the best run defenses in the country. While he likely won’t be drafted, he could get a look in the last two rounds on a hope and a prayer.
Monday, December 28, 2009
Independence Bowl
The Independence Bowl: Texas A&M vs. Georgia
Texas A&M showed very well against Texas and one would think that they could pass their way to victory against the offensively stymied Georgia team. However, SEC defense will always beat out a Big 12 team with no true game changers. Please note this is not necesarily true of what would happen in the BCS title game, but that’s another preview. Ultimately Georgia wins this game.
Prospects to Watch in this Game
Georgia, Defensive Tackle, Geno Atkins and Jeff Owens: I’m kinda cheating here, but both are on the radar. Atkins is considered the better of the two, but Owens has had his moments. Both a little shorter than ideal, but both have shown the ability to be solid contributors. Both are third day (4-7 rounds) prospects.
Texas A&M, Cornerback/Returner, Jordan Pugh: His play as a corner is questionable, but he clearly has solid return skills and the ability to contribute on special teams as a gunner.
Texas A&M showed very well against Texas and one would think that they could pass their way to victory against the offensively stymied Georgia team. However, SEC defense will always beat out a Big 12 team with no true game changers. Please note this is not necesarily true of what would happen in the BCS title game, but that’s another preview. Ultimately Georgia wins this game.
Prospects to Watch in this Game
Georgia, Defensive Tackle, Geno Atkins and Jeff Owens: I’m kinda cheating here, but both are on the radar. Atkins is considered the better of the two, but Owens has had his moments. Both a little shorter than ideal, but both have shown the ability to be solid contributors. Both are third day (4-7 rounds) prospects.
Texas A&M, Cornerback/Returner, Jordan Pugh: His play as a corner is questionable, but he clearly has solid return skills and the ability to contribute on special teams as a gunner.
Sunday, December 27, 2009
Music City Bowl
The Music City Bowl: Kentucky vs. Clemson
Kentucky has had a solid defensive season, allowing their offense top score enough points to win. Clemson, on the other hand has shown a very up and down team this year. Some weeks they look like they could beat anyone, other weeks they look like they belong in D-3. While the SEC normally dominates the ACC, I think the key player of this game, C.J. Spiller, will prove too versatile to stop. Clemson wins.
Prospects to Watch in this Game
Clemson, Runningback, C.J. Spiller: Amazingly versatile, Spiller scored 20 touchdowns to this point through rushing, receiving and returning. A first rounder in the mold of Felix Jones and Reggie Bush.
Clemson, Outside Linebacker/Defensive End, Ricky Sapp: Has great athleticism and underrated strength. While a little light for a 4-3 end, he would fit very well as a 3-4 OLB.
Kentucky, Cornerback, Trevard Lindley: A solid cover corner, who excels in zone. Is a little on the smaller size and not quite the tackler that most scouts would prefer. A solid second rounder who could make noise if he tests well.
Kentucky, Linebacker, Micah Johnson: A strong tackler, who flies from sideline to sideline. Struggles some in recognition and reaction, but has great measurables and should go in the first three rounds.
Also note the performance of Clemson Receiver Jacoby Ford.
Kentucky has had a solid defensive season, allowing their offense top score enough points to win. Clemson, on the other hand has shown a very up and down team this year. Some weeks they look like they could beat anyone, other weeks they look like they belong in D-3. While the SEC normally dominates the ACC, I think the key player of this game, C.J. Spiller, will prove too versatile to stop. Clemson wins.
Prospects to Watch in this Game
Clemson, Runningback, C.J. Spiller: Amazingly versatile, Spiller scored 20 touchdowns to this point through rushing, receiving and returning. A first rounder in the mold of Felix Jones and Reggie Bush.
Clemson, Outside Linebacker/Defensive End, Ricky Sapp: Has great athleticism and underrated strength. While a little light for a 4-3 end, he would fit very well as a 3-4 OLB.
Kentucky, Cornerback, Trevard Lindley: A solid cover corner, who excels in zone. Is a little on the smaller size and not quite the tackler that most scouts would prefer. A solid second rounder who could make noise if he tests well.
Kentucky, Linebacker, Micah Johnson: A strong tackler, who flies from sideline to sideline. Struggles some in recognition and reaction, but has great measurables and should go in the first three rounds.
Also note the performance of Clemson Receiver Jacoby Ford.
Predictions for Week 16
The Holidays are taking up a lot of time. Here are the quick picks.
BUF at ATL Winner: ATL
KC at CIN Winner: CIN
OAK vs. CLE Winner: OAK
SEA vs. GB Winner: GB
HOU at MIA Winner: HOU
BAL at PIT Winner: BAL
CAR at NYG Winner: NYG
JAC at NE Winner: NE
TB at NO Winner: NO
STL at ARI Winner: ARI
DET at SF Winner: SF
DEN at PHI Winner: PHI
NYJ at IND Winner: IND
DAL at WAS Winner: DAL
MIN at CHI Winner: MIN
BUF at ATL Winner: ATL
KC at CIN Winner: CIN
OAK vs. CLE Winner: OAK
SEA vs. GB Winner: GB
HOU at MIA Winner: HOU
BAL at PIT Winner: BAL
CAR at NYG Winner: NYG
JAC at NE Winner: NE
TB at NO Winner: NO
STL at ARI Winner: ARI
DET at SF Winner: SF
DEN at PHI Winner: PHI
NYJ at IND Winner: IND
DAL at WAS Winner: DAL
MIN at CHI Winner: MIN
Saturday, December 26, 2009
Meineke Car Care Bowl
The Meineke Car Care Bowl: North Carolina vs. Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh has been one of the more impressive teams this season, featuring the great running of Dion Lewis and the surprisingly effective play of QB Bill Stull. North Carolina’s success was a bit more surprising. They play well with strong defense and the underrated play of QB T.J. Yates. This will be an excellent game, but Dion Lewis will be the difference, Pitt Wins.
Prospects to Watch in this Game
Pittsburgh, Quarterback, Bill Stull: While there is a great deal of development for Stull to go through, he still has solid potential as a backup. He has pretty good arm strength, but questionable decision making skills. A late round prospect.
Pittsburgh, Tight End, Nate Byham: A late round prospect, mostly because of his limited use as a receiver but overwhelming impact as a blocker. In a league where there are fewer and fewer good blocking tight ends, a player like Byham still has a place.
North Carolina, Defensive Tackle, Cam Thomas: A massive player who still has enough quickness to make an impact as a special teamer and sub package player. Late round prospect.
Note: Also keep an eye on Bruce Carter and Marvin Austin, both are projected to go in the first three rounds.
Pittsburgh has been one of the more impressive teams this season, featuring the great running of Dion Lewis and the surprisingly effective play of QB Bill Stull. North Carolina’s success was a bit more surprising. They play well with strong defense and the underrated play of QB T.J. Yates. This will be an excellent game, but Dion Lewis will be the difference, Pitt Wins.
Prospects to Watch in this Game
Pittsburgh, Quarterback, Bill Stull: While there is a great deal of development for Stull to go through, he still has solid potential as a backup. He has pretty good arm strength, but questionable decision making skills. A late round prospect.
Pittsburgh, Tight End, Nate Byham: A late round prospect, mostly because of his limited use as a receiver but overwhelming impact as a blocker. In a league where there are fewer and fewer good blocking tight ends, a player like Byham still has a place.
North Carolina, Defensive Tackle, Cam Thomas: A massive player who still has enough quickness to make an impact as a special teamer and sub package player. Late round prospect.
Note: Also keep an eye on Bruce Carter and Marvin Austin, both are projected to go in the first three rounds.
Little Ceasar's Bowl
The Little Caesars Bowl: Ohio vs. Marshall
Marshall will try and keep this game close, but with their coach resigning after their last game, it is hard to believe that they will be totally focused on this game. Ohio took Central Michigan, one of the best teams in the country (no matter what the media says), to their very limits. Simply put, Ohio should pound Marshall into the dirt in this matchup.
Prospects to Watch in this Game
Marshall, Defensive End/Outside Linebacker, Albert McClellan: While somewhat undersized and unlikely to make it as a 4-3 DE in the NFL, McClellan has potential as a nickel pass rusher in a 3-4 scheme. He’ll likely go in the 6th or 7th round, but as any experienced coach can tell you, “you can never have enough linebackers or pass rushers.” This theory should help him get drafted.
Ohio, Wide Receiver, Taylor Price: The main target of Ohio quarterback Theo Scott, Price has good speed and the ability to make tough catches in the endzone. Odds are he will need to show well as a special teamer, but his speed will get him a look in the late rounds.
Marshall will try and keep this game close, but with their coach resigning after their last game, it is hard to believe that they will be totally focused on this game. Ohio took Central Michigan, one of the best teams in the country (no matter what the media says), to their very limits. Simply put, Ohio should pound Marshall into the dirt in this matchup.
Prospects to Watch in this Game
Marshall, Defensive End/Outside Linebacker, Albert McClellan: While somewhat undersized and unlikely to make it as a 4-3 DE in the NFL, McClellan has potential as a nickel pass rusher in a 3-4 scheme. He’ll likely go in the 6th or 7th round, but as any experienced coach can tell you, “you can never have enough linebackers or pass rushers.” This theory should help him get drafted.
Ohio, Wide Receiver, Taylor Price: The main target of Ohio quarterback Theo Scott, Price has good speed and the ability to make tough catches in the endzone. Odds are he will need to show well as a special teamer, but his speed will get him a look in the late rounds.
Friday, December 25, 2009
Christmas Game Prediction
SD vs. TEN Winner: TEN
Call it being naive or call it a hunch, the fact of the matter is that the Titans are winning this game. The main reasoning is that the Chargers, while very hot, are an exceptionally flawed team. They have a minimal running game outside of the red zone and few passing weapons other than Antonio Gates. I know Vincent Jackson and Malcolm Floyd have been having career years, but neither is the kind of receiver that really scares you, they mostly benefit from the system and a productive, if overrated, quarterback in Phillip Rivers. Plus, I don;t bet against the hotter of the teams (Tennessee) at home.
Call it being naive or call it a hunch, the fact of the matter is that the Titans are winning this game. The main reasoning is that the Chargers, while very hot, are an exceptionally flawed team. They have a minimal running game outside of the red zone and few passing weapons other than Antonio Gates. I know Vincent Jackson and Malcolm Floyd have been having career years, but neither is the kind of receiver that really scares you, they mostly benefit from the system and a productive, if overrated, quarterback in Phillip Rivers. Plus, I don;t bet against the hotter of the teams (Tennessee) at home.
Wednesday, December 23, 2009
Fourth Set for Bowl Games.
The Poinsettia Bowl: Utah vs. California
Some people may view this as a mismatch, and in truth it is. While Cal played well enough to deserve a bowl bid, they aren’t nearly good enough to be on the same field as the Utah Utes. Utah suffers from playing better conference powerhouses (BYU, TCU) than the Pac-10 and is reloading. Cal on the other hand, simply doesn’t have the same level of talent, particularly without Jahvid Best playing. Utah Wins.
Prospects to Watch in this Game
California, Cornerback, Syd’Quan Thompson: Though undersized, Thompson has proven through a four year career that he has the speed and instincts to make up for his lack of size. Though doesn’t nab a lot of interceptions, he still prevents the catch, which most times works better than a gambling player who will give up a couple of big plays as well as getting a few picks.
California, Defensive Tackle, Tyson Alualu: Good prototypical size, good speed and strength. Could sneak into the first round if the best DTs go in a run earlier in the draft.
Utah, Safety, Robert Johnson: A mid-round prospect, who has good size and range. More of a hitter than a mid-fielder, but will excel on special teams.
Utah, Offensive Lineman, Zane Beadles: An offensive lineman who has slid between being a tackle and a guard for the past couple of years. While he struggles a little in downfield blocking, he still has value for his strength at the point.
Utah, Defensive End, Koa Misi: While a little light, Misi has great speed and excellent effort. He projects to the middle rounds as either a 3rd down DE or a 3-4 OLB. Will need to improve his strength to hold up in the NFL, but will definitely get a look in the 3rd or 4th round.
Some people may view this as a mismatch, and in truth it is. While Cal played well enough to deserve a bowl bid, they aren’t nearly good enough to be on the same field as the Utah Utes. Utah suffers from playing better conference powerhouses (BYU, TCU) than the Pac-10 and is reloading. Cal on the other hand, simply doesn’t have the same level of talent, particularly without Jahvid Best playing. Utah Wins.
Prospects to Watch in this Game
California, Cornerback, Syd’Quan Thompson: Though undersized, Thompson has proven through a four year career that he has the speed and instincts to make up for his lack of size. Though doesn’t nab a lot of interceptions, he still prevents the catch, which most times works better than a gambling player who will give up a couple of big plays as well as getting a few picks.
California, Defensive Tackle, Tyson Alualu: Good prototypical size, good speed and strength. Could sneak into the first round if the best DTs go in a run earlier in the draft.
Utah, Safety, Robert Johnson: A mid-round prospect, who has good size and range. More of a hitter than a mid-fielder, but will excel on special teams.
Utah, Offensive Lineman, Zane Beadles: An offensive lineman who has slid between being a tackle and a guard for the past couple of years. While he struggles a little in downfield blocking, he still has value for his strength at the point.
Utah, Defensive End, Koa Misi: While a little light, Misi has great speed and excellent effort. He projects to the middle rounds as either a 3rd down DE or a 3-4 OLB. Will need to improve his strength to hold up in the NFL, but will definitely get a look in the 3rd or 4th round.
Tuesday, December 22, 2009
Third Set for Bowl Games.
The Maaco Las Vegas Bowl: Oregon State vs. BYU (Brigham Young University)
This is an interesting matchup. Yet gain, the ten win BYU finds itself matched up against whatever PAC-10 team gets stuck in this game. This year it happens to be a pretty good Oregon State team, whose offense features the best pair of brothers in the country, James and Jaquizz Rodgers. While Oregon State will provide a good competition for BYU, the fact is that this is BYU’s fifth consecutive visit to Vegas and that will be the difference. Vegas is the kind of place you can’t really prep for, you just have to experience it and BYU has done a lot of that. BYU pulls out the win in a high scoring affair.
Prospects to Watch in this Game
BYU, Defensive End, Jan Jorgenson: While he doesn’t have the typical off-the-snap quickness that most teams want in a DE, he has shown good consistency over the course of his career and good effort. He also had a fairly good game early in the season against one of the top tackle prospects in Trent Williams in their early game against Oklahoma. He’s a late round prospect, but has good value in those late rounds.
BYU, Quarterback, Max Hall: While a little on the short size, he has excellent accuracy. His arm strength is questionable, but his experience and maturity is a major plus. A good value pick late and projects as a solid backup.
BYU, Runningback, Harvey Unga: A great power back who has been able to provide consistency in the running game. Like most players coming from BYU there will be questions about how much the system has inflated their numbers, but he has great value as a big back who is very complete. Probably a late round prospect.
BYU, Tight End, Dennis Pitta: This is likely the best prospect coming out of this program this year. He reminds me a lot of Dallas Clark or Dustin Keller. He has great athleticism and very soft hands. He will have trouble adjusting to the blocking and the in-line play in the NFL, but he has his use as a playmaker in long situations.
Oregon State, Defensive Tackle, Stephen Paea: A underrated junior prospect, he dominated the interior line during the game against Oregon, just couldn’t be seen because Oregon kept running to the outside. Has great leverage, quickness and power, he was the second most dominate defensive tackle I had seen this season. A tad undersized, he’ll get the attention he deserves next year, if he returns.
Oregon State, Quarterback, Sean Canfield: Has been tremendously accurate, but has a limited number of starts. As a later round prospect, he should have good value due to his accuracy and arm strength, but could become overrated on the basis of his workouts and viewed as needing less development than he actually needs, a la Mark Sanchez.
This is an interesting matchup. Yet gain, the ten win BYU finds itself matched up against whatever PAC-10 team gets stuck in this game. This year it happens to be a pretty good Oregon State team, whose offense features the best pair of brothers in the country, James and Jaquizz Rodgers. While Oregon State will provide a good competition for BYU, the fact is that this is BYU’s fifth consecutive visit to Vegas and that will be the difference. Vegas is the kind of place you can’t really prep for, you just have to experience it and BYU has done a lot of that. BYU pulls out the win in a high scoring affair.
Prospects to Watch in this Game
BYU, Defensive End, Jan Jorgenson: While he doesn’t have the typical off-the-snap quickness that most teams want in a DE, he has shown good consistency over the course of his career and good effort. He also had a fairly good game early in the season against one of the top tackle prospects in Trent Williams in their early game against Oklahoma. He’s a late round prospect, but has good value in those late rounds.
BYU, Quarterback, Max Hall: While a little on the short size, he has excellent accuracy. His arm strength is questionable, but his experience and maturity is a major plus. A good value pick late and projects as a solid backup.
BYU, Runningback, Harvey Unga: A great power back who has been able to provide consistency in the running game. Like most players coming from BYU there will be questions about how much the system has inflated their numbers, but he has great value as a big back who is very complete. Probably a late round prospect.
BYU, Tight End, Dennis Pitta: This is likely the best prospect coming out of this program this year. He reminds me a lot of Dallas Clark or Dustin Keller. He has great athleticism and very soft hands. He will have trouble adjusting to the blocking and the in-line play in the NFL, but he has his use as a playmaker in long situations.
Oregon State, Defensive Tackle, Stephen Paea: A underrated junior prospect, he dominated the interior line during the game against Oregon, just couldn’t be seen because Oregon kept running to the outside. Has great leverage, quickness and power, he was the second most dominate defensive tackle I had seen this season. A tad undersized, he’ll get the attention he deserves next year, if he returns.
Oregon State, Quarterback, Sean Canfield: Has been tremendously accurate, but has a limited number of starts. As a later round prospect, he should have good value due to his accuracy and arm strength, but could become overrated on the basis of his workouts and viewed as needing less development than he actually needs, a la Mark Sanchez.
Sunday, December 20, 2009
Second Set for Bowl Games.
The New Orleans Bowl: Middle Tennessee State vs. Southern Mississippi
Middle Tennessee State has been on a roll this year with dual threat QB Dwight Dasher playing very well. He does a good job of spreading the ball around and leads his team in rushing yards so look for him to keep the Blue Raiders in the game. However, with Southenr Mississippi’s Damion Flecthcer entering his last game as a Golden Eagle and looking to jump Herchel Walker and Ladainian Tomlinson in the all-time rushing list, look for him to get plenty of opportunities. This will also help open up the play-action passing of Montavious Young, who will target big-play threat DeAndre Brown. This will be a high scoring affair, but the multiple weapons of Southern Miss will beat down the dual-threat sensation at Middle Tennessee.
Prospects to Watch in this Game
Southern Mississippi, Runningback, Damion Fletcher: Let’s be real right now, this smallish back will probably go in the 7th round if at all. He’s barely 5-10 and doesn’t break the 200 lb mark. Honestly, he’s not blazingly fast or strong. He really has no amazing qualities, so why would anyone draft him? If rushes for more than 67 yards and 2 touchdowns during this bowl game, it would be his fourth straight year with 1000+ yards and 10+ touchdowns. That kind of consistency is something that gets you a look.
Middle Tennessee State has been on a roll this year with dual threat QB Dwight Dasher playing very well. He does a good job of spreading the ball around and leads his team in rushing yards so look for him to keep the Blue Raiders in the game. However, with Southenr Mississippi’s Damion Flecthcer entering his last game as a Golden Eagle and looking to jump Herchel Walker and Ladainian Tomlinson in the all-time rushing list, look for him to get plenty of opportunities. This will also help open up the play-action passing of Montavious Young, who will target big-play threat DeAndre Brown. This will be a high scoring affair, but the multiple weapons of Southern Miss will beat down the dual-threat sensation at Middle Tennessee.
Prospects to Watch in this Game
Southern Mississippi, Runningback, Damion Fletcher: Let’s be real right now, this smallish back will probably go in the 7th round if at all. He’s barely 5-10 and doesn’t break the 200 lb mark. Honestly, he’s not blazingly fast or strong. He really has no amazing qualities, so why would anyone draft him? If rushes for more than 67 yards and 2 touchdowns during this bowl game, it would be his fourth straight year with 1000+ yards and 10+ touchdowns. That kind of consistency is something that gets you a look.
Predictions for Week 15
NE at BUF Winner: NE
ARI at DET Winner: ARI
HOU vs. STL Winner: HOU
CLE vs. KC Winner: KC
MIA at TEN Winner: MIA
ATL at NYJ Winner: ATL
OAK at DEN Winner: DEN
CIN at SD Winner: CIN
SF at PHI Winner: PHI
TB at SEA Winner: SEA
CHI at BAL Winner: BAL
GB at PIT Winner: GB
MIN at CAR Winner: MIN
NYG at WAS Winner: NYG
ARI at DET Winner: ARI
HOU vs. STL Winner: HOU
CLE vs. KC Winner: KC
MIA at TEN Winner: MIA
ATL at NYJ Winner: ATL
OAK at DEN Winner: DEN
CIN at SD Winner: CIN
SF at PHI Winner: PHI
TB at SEA Winner: SEA
CHI at BAL Winner: BAL
GB at PIT Winner: GB
MIN at CAR Winner: MIN
NYG at WAS Winner: NYG
Saturday, December 19, 2009
First Set for Bowl Games.
Alright, here we go. I am going to be predicting every bowl game and highlighting some players from each team to keep an eye out for come draft time. So let’s get right into it with our first two bowl games of the season.
The New Mexico Bowl: Wyoming vs. Fresno State
Wyoming is finally back in a Bowl game for the first time in five years. While this is a clear step forward for the program, they haven’t gotten an easy game in their return to the college football postseason. Fresno State’s rushing attack has been one of the best in country, lead by one of the nation’s best runningbacks, Ryan Matthews. While Wyoming has been able to maintain a fair record through a resilient offense, it’s doubtful they’ll be able to keep up with the Fresno State offense. Fresno wins.
Prospects to Watch in this Game
Wyoming, Safety, Chris Prosinski: This 6-1 junior safety led the Cowboys in tackles this past year was 9th in the country in total tackles. He also returned a fumble 98 yards for a touchdown, showing his long speed. While he is likely to return as there is likely only a small market for his services in the NFL, when he does come out he’ll probably land in the sixth or seventh round. Teams will be reminded of special teams ace John Wendling when they look at Proskinski’s tape.
Wyoming, Defensive Tackle, John Fletcher: With his big 6-6 frame, he likely projects as an “under” tackle in a 4-3 or a defensive end in a 3-4. His pass rush ability, which landed him on the First-Team All-Mountain West, got him 7 sacks and 12.5 tackles for a loss. He will be a late-round prospect because of where he plays, but he should be a productive nickel pass-rusher.
Fresno State, Wide Receiver, Seyi Ajirotutu: The wideout who lead Fresno State in touchdown catches this season (7) has a fair chance of being drafted. He has pretty good speed and prototypical size. However, given how much the Fresno State offense focuses on Ryan Mathews, there maybe questions of Seyi’s overall talent level.
Fresno State, Runningback, Ryan Mathews: The man everyone will be watching in this game Mathews is a bruising runner with good speed. While averaging 151 rushing yards per game, a fact that can be overlooked is that he did most of these with, at best, a marginal passing game to balance off. He’ll likely go in the second round but might sneak into the late first round depending on who is drafting there.
The St. Petersburg Bowl: Rutgers vs. UCF (University of Central Florida)
While Rutgers is dreaming of bigger things, UCF is thrilled to be back in a bowl game after missing only one year. The tricky and tough UCF defense will look to try and force freshman quarterback Tom Savage to make enough mistakes to cost the Scarlet Knights the game. They likely won’t succeed, Savage is incredibly poised.
Prospects to Watch in this Game
UCF, Defensive End/Outside Linebacker, Bruce Miller: A classic tweener prospect, his size makes it hard to classify his role on the next level. His production, however, reminds me somewhat of Elvis Dumervil. Dumervil led the nation in sacks when he came out, but was derided for his size and playing at Louisville. Miller may not led the nation in sacks, but still has a good number, 12 He’s well suited to a 3-4 (which UCF plays) but could also work as a pass rush specialist in a 4-3, maybe even a starter in a Tampa Two. He’ll probably be in school another year, but who knows what could happen if he has a big game against Anthony Davis.
Rutgers, Wide Receiver, Tim Brown: While there will likely not be a chance to see this little dynamo play, his is a name one should pay attention to come the later rounds of draft day. While his size will force him down into the last half of the draft, his production and big play ability should keep him in scouts mind for a while.
Rutgers, Offensive Tackle, Anthony Davis: Davis is considered one of the best tackle prospects with the potential of going out into this upcoming draft. He’s enormous size and good agility make him a top quality prospect, who could make the top ten should he come out this season.
Rutgers, Cornerback, Devin McCourty: Twin to the Titans sixth rounder last year, Devin is considered the better of the two. He has good size, great athleticism and pretty good instincts. Clearly his best quality is his ability to lay the wood. As long as he doesn’t blow his 40 time, he should be selected in the first three rounds and could end up as a first year starter.
The New Mexico Bowl: Wyoming vs. Fresno State
Wyoming is finally back in a Bowl game for the first time in five years. While this is a clear step forward for the program, they haven’t gotten an easy game in their return to the college football postseason. Fresno State’s rushing attack has been one of the best in country, lead by one of the nation’s best runningbacks, Ryan Matthews. While Wyoming has been able to maintain a fair record through a resilient offense, it’s doubtful they’ll be able to keep up with the Fresno State offense. Fresno wins.
Prospects to Watch in this Game
Wyoming, Safety, Chris Prosinski: This 6-1 junior safety led the Cowboys in tackles this past year was 9th in the country in total tackles. He also returned a fumble 98 yards for a touchdown, showing his long speed. While he is likely to return as there is likely only a small market for his services in the NFL, when he does come out he’ll probably land in the sixth or seventh round. Teams will be reminded of special teams ace John Wendling when they look at Proskinski’s tape.
Wyoming, Defensive Tackle, John Fletcher: With his big 6-6 frame, he likely projects as an “under” tackle in a 4-3 or a defensive end in a 3-4. His pass rush ability, which landed him on the First-Team All-Mountain West, got him 7 sacks and 12.5 tackles for a loss. He will be a late-round prospect because of where he plays, but he should be a productive nickel pass-rusher.
Fresno State, Wide Receiver, Seyi Ajirotutu: The wideout who lead Fresno State in touchdown catches this season (7) has a fair chance of being drafted. He has pretty good speed and prototypical size. However, given how much the Fresno State offense focuses on Ryan Mathews, there maybe questions of Seyi’s overall talent level.
Fresno State, Runningback, Ryan Mathews: The man everyone will be watching in this game Mathews is a bruising runner with good speed. While averaging 151 rushing yards per game, a fact that can be overlooked is that he did most of these with, at best, a marginal passing game to balance off. He’ll likely go in the second round but might sneak into the late first round depending on who is drafting there.
The St. Petersburg Bowl: Rutgers vs. UCF (University of Central Florida)
While Rutgers is dreaming of bigger things, UCF is thrilled to be back in a bowl game after missing only one year. The tricky and tough UCF defense will look to try and force freshman quarterback Tom Savage to make enough mistakes to cost the Scarlet Knights the game. They likely won’t succeed, Savage is incredibly poised.
Prospects to Watch in this Game
UCF, Defensive End/Outside Linebacker, Bruce Miller: A classic tweener prospect, his size makes it hard to classify his role on the next level. His production, however, reminds me somewhat of Elvis Dumervil. Dumervil led the nation in sacks when he came out, but was derided for his size and playing at Louisville. Miller may not led the nation in sacks, but still has a good number, 12 He’s well suited to a 3-4 (which UCF plays) but could also work as a pass rush specialist in a 4-3, maybe even a starter in a Tampa Two. He’ll probably be in school another year, but who knows what could happen if he has a big game against Anthony Davis.
Rutgers, Wide Receiver, Tim Brown: While there will likely not be a chance to see this little dynamo play, his is a name one should pay attention to come the later rounds of draft day. While his size will force him down into the last half of the draft, his production and big play ability should keep him in scouts mind for a while.
Rutgers, Offensive Tackle, Anthony Davis: Davis is considered one of the best tackle prospects with the potential of going out into this upcoming draft. He’s enormous size and good agility make him a top quality prospect, who could make the top ten should he come out this season.
Rutgers, Cornerback, Devin McCourty: Twin to the Titans sixth rounder last year, Devin is considered the better of the two. He has good size, great athleticism and pretty good instincts. Clearly his best quality is his ability to lay the wood. As long as he doesn’t blow his 40 time, he should be selected in the first three rounds and could end up as a first year starter.
Thursday, December 17, 2009
Prediction for Thursday's and Saturday's Game
I was undefeated in non-prime time games last week and winless in primetime games. 13-3 still isn;t a bad addition to the record. I am now at 119-61, but now is when the picks get tougher, not knowing when the top teams are going to rest thier players or when the bottom-feeders will rise up to play the spoiler. Thursday's game is the perfect example of that.
IND at JAC Winner: IND
This pick is much trickier than most would think. Yes, I know that Jim Caldwell said that he was going to play all the healthy players and that they were prepping for this game the same way they have for all the games till now. The problem with that is that I don’t believe him. I think that if they’re up by more than touchdown in the late third and fourth quarter, he won’t hesitate for a second to yank his starters and sit them for the rest of the game. It doesn’t help that the Jaguars have a very strong runner in Maurice Jones-Drew and the Colts aren’t a great run defense. I’m still picking the Colts on the precaution that Caldwell was telling the truth, just with much trepidation.
DAL at NO Winner: NO
The Cowboys are likely playing without DeMarcus Ware. Is there any other reason I need to pick the Saints? Not having your best pass-rusher against Drew Brees is not the formula to upset the Saints.
IND at JAC Winner: IND
This pick is much trickier than most would think. Yes, I know that Jim Caldwell said that he was going to play all the healthy players and that they were prepping for this game the same way they have for all the games till now. The problem with that is that I don’t believe him. I think that if they’re up by more than touchdown in the late third and fourth quarter, he won’t hesitate for a second to yank his starters and sit them for the rest of the game. It doesn’t help that the Jaguars have a very strong runner in Maurice Jones-Drew and the Colts aren’t a great run defense. I’m still picking the Colts on the precaution that Caldwell was telling the truth, just with much trepidation.
DAL at NO Winner: NO
The Cowboys are likely playing without DeMarcus Ware. Is there any other reason I need to pick the Saints? Not having your best pass-rusher against Drew Brees is not the formula to upset the Saints.
Saturday, December 12, 2009
Predictions for Week 14
NO at ATL Winner: NO
New Orleans is still red hot and, with Matt Ryan and Michael Turner among the offensive starters that are up in the air to start in this game, will likely run over the Falcons.
DET vs. BAL Winner: BAL
Baltimore gets a break from the slide they’ve been in recently. The Lions are growing and need help defensively, but this is all good experience for their young players. The Ravens will win and build momentum heading into the final stretch of the season.
GB vs. CHI Winner: GB
Green Bay’s defense has been to force hurried and off- balance throw from even the best of QBs. Jay Cutler will be blamed for this loss, but there is so much more to it, just like the rest of the season.
SEA at HOU Winner: HOU
Houston is in trouble, there is no way around it. They need this win to help save Gary Kubiak’s job and the long-term stability of the team. Seattle has been hot and will threaten an upset, but Home Field edges this game to the Texans.
DEN at IND Winner: IND
While Denver’s defense seems to be back to form and it is the defensive scheme that has given Peyton Manning the most trouble through his career, Manning has been simply unstoppable during the course of the season and will pull this one out like he has so many others.
MIA at JAC Winner: MIA
Miami’s backs are against the wall, but they will not fade quietly into the winter. Jacksonville is the worst team in the league in sacking the quarterback, which means that Chad Henne will have all-day to pick apart the Jags secondary. This doesn’t make it easy, just easier.
BUF at KC Winner: BUF
Buffalo is playing hard, they might not being winning, but they are playing hard. Against the Chiefs, who are also playing hard, they should be able to make enough plays to pull out the victory.
CIN at MIN Winner: MIN
Minnesota’s run defense should be able to shut down the potent running attack of the Bengals. While their secondary has been hurt as of late, I do think that their ability to rush the passer will make it hard for Carson Palmer to get into a rhythm with Chad Ochocinco, especially when they are forced to forgo the play-action pass. Minnesota wins in a tight one.
CAR at NE Winner: NE
Whether it’s Matt Moore or Jake Delhomme, the Panthers will have a very difficult time passing on the Pets in this match-up. This will allow the Pats to load up the box and focus on stopping the powerful running of DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart. New England gets a much needed victory.
NYJ at TB Winner: NYJ
As weak as I think the Jets are without their young QB to sling it loose, there is one player who I think will make all the difference in this match-up, Darrelle Revis. He has been a great shut-down corner for the majority of the season and should shut down Antonio Bryant in this match-up. Add into this that Josh Freeman is a rookie Quarterback, then you have the combination for a long-day of defensive struggle.
STL at TEN Winner: TEN
Tennessee’s loss last week was understandable; they’d played an undefeated Colts team. St. Louis will likely have troubles keeping up with Chris Johnson, far less trouble than the Titans defense will have taking on Steven Jackson. Both Jackson and Johnson will likely eclipse 100+ yards, but Johnson (and the Titans in general) will have the better game.
WAS at OAK Winner: WAS
While Oakland’s win against Pittsburgh was impressive, I don’t think they will have the same success against the resurgent Redskins. The Redskins should be able to trick Gradkowski into making a litany of mistakes against a strong secondary, even though DeAngelo Hall (their best cover man) is out.
SD at DAL Winner: SD
San Diego is undefeated in December since appointing Phillip Rivers as the starting QB. The Cowboys have won only a quarter of their December games over the last decade. You figure out why I am making this pick.
PHI at NYG Winner: NYG
This pick simply comes down to where it’s being played. The Meadowlands has always been a hard place to play, particularly in the cold and wind of December. The Eagles won’t be able to pull off their big plays that consistently saves them in close games, putting the Giants in position to pull the upset.
ARI at SF Winner: ARI
The Cardinals have found their wings again. The 49ers haven’t been able to keep their momentum in the past two games, leading to close losses. I do think the 49ers should be able to keep the game relatively close, but will probably lose it late.
New Orleans is still red hot and, with Matt Ryan and Michael Turner among the offensive starters that are up in the air to start in this game, will likely run over the Falcons.
DET vs. BAL Winner: BAL
Baltimore gets a break from the slide they’ve been in recently. The Lions are growing and need help defensively, but this is all good experience for their young players. The Ravens will win and build momentum heading into the final stretch of the season.
GB vs. CHI Winner: GB
Green Bay’s defense has been to force hurried and off- balance throw from even the best of QBs. Jay Cutler will be blamed for this loss, but there is so much more to it, just like the rest of the season.
SEA at HOU Winner: HOU
Houston is in trouble, there is no way around it. They need this win to help save Gary Kubiak’s job and the long-term stability of the team. Seattle has been hot and will threaten an upset, but Home Field edges this game to the Texans.
DEN at IND Winner: IND
While Denver’s defense seems to be back to form and it is the defensive scheme that has given Peyton Manning the most trouble through his career, Manning has been simply unstoppable during the course of the season and will pull this one out like he has so many others.
MIA at JAC Winner: MIA
Miami’s backs are against the wall, but they will not fade quietly into the winter. Jacksonville is the worst team in the league in sacking the quarterback, which means that Chad Henne will have all-day to pick apart the Jags secondary. This doesn’t make it easy, just easier.
BUF at KC Winner: BUF
Buffalo is playing hard, they might not being winning, but they are playing hard. Against the Chiefs, who are also playing hard, they should be able to make enough plays to pull out the victory.
CIN at MIN Winner: MIN
Minnesota’s run defense should be able to shut down the potent running attack of the Bengals. While their secondary has been hurt as of late, I do think that their ability to rush the passer will make it hard for Carson Palmer to get into a rhythm with Chad Ochocinco, especially when they are forced to forgo the play-action pass. Minnesota wins in a tight one.
CAR at NE Winner: NE
Whether it’s Matt Moore or Jake Delhomme, the Panthers will have a very difficult time passing on the Pets in this match-up. This will allow the Pats to load up the box and focus on stopping the powerful running of DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart. New England gets a much needed victory.
NYJ at TB Winner: NYJ
As weak as I think the Jets are without their young QB to sling it loose, there is one player who I think will make all the difference in this match-up, Darrelle Revis. He has been a great shut-down corner for the majority of the season and should shut down Antonio Bryant in this match-up. Add into this that Josh Freeman is a rookie Quarterback, then you have the combination for a long-day of defensive struggle.
STL at TEN Winner: TEN
Tennessee’s loss last week was understandable; they’d played an undefeated Colts team. St. Louis will likely have troubles keeping up with Chris Johnson, far less trouble than the Titans defense will have taking on Steven Jackson. Both Jackson and Johnson will likely eclipse 100+ yards, but Johnson (and the Titans in general) will have the better game.
WAS at OAK Winner: WAS
While Oakland’s win against Pittsburgh was impressive, I don’t think they will have the same success against the resurgent Redskins. The Redskins should be able to trick Gradkowski into making a litany of mistakes against a strong secondary, even though DeAngelo Hall (their best cover man) is out.
SD at DAL Winner: SD
San Diego is undefeated in December since appointing Phillip Rivers as the starting QB. The Cowboys have won only a quarter of their December games over the last decade. You figure out why I am making this pick.
PHI at NYG Winner: NYG
This pick simply comes down to where it’s being played. The Meadowlands has always been a hard place to play, particularly in the cold and wind of December. The Eagles won’t be able to pull off their big plays that consistently saves them in close games, putting the Giants in position to pull the upset.
ARI at SF Winner: ARI
The Cardinals have found their wings again. The 49ers haven’t been able to keep their momentum in the past two games, leading to close losses. I do think the 49ers should be able to keep the game relatively close, but will probably lose it late.
Wednesday, December 9, 2009
Prediction for Thursday's Game
8-7 last week putting me at 106-58 for the season. Two-to-one winning percentage isn’t bad, but more padding is needed before teams start resting their starters at the last minute during the last several weeks of the season.
PIT at CLE Winner: PIT
Pittsburgh has suffered defensively without Troy Polamalu. However they should be able to get back on track against the Browns. Don’t be surprised if the Browns put up a good fight though, they have been steadily more competitive as the season has progressed and could be a threat if the Steelers don’t take them seriously.
PIT at CLE Winner: PIT
Pittsburgh has suffered defensively without Troy Polamalu. However they should be able to get back on track against the Browns. Don’t be surprised if the Browns put up a good fight though, they have been steadily more competitive as the season has progressed and could be a threat if the Steelers don’t take them seriously.
Sunday, December 6, 2009
Predictions for Week 13
14-3 last week, including this past Thurdays game. that puts me at 98-51 for the season. With the playoff picture starting to become more and more clear, Another strong push this week would help as teams start considering the possibility of resting starters in the final weeks.
PHI at ATL Winner: PHI
Philly has been playing very over the past few weeks, in-spite of losing Brian Westbrook. Atlanta has been up and down, but is generally playing alright. The main matchup to look for in this game is the play of both passing games. Atlanta has the 27th ranked passing defense, highlighted by having only 8 interceptions to this point in the season. The Eagles on the other hand ranks 9th in pass defense and have 18 total interceptions. That being said, DeSean Jackson and Matt Ryan are both missing this week’s game for their respective teams. This hurts both passing games and means their will be a heavy reliance on LeSean McCoy and Jason Snelling (Michael Turner is unlikely to play). Ultimately I see the Eagles wining in a hard fought game.
CAR at TB Winner: TB
Carolina is starting Matt Moore due to Jake Delhomme’s finger injury and turnover problems. Their strong running game would normally have me picking them for the win however, Tampa Bay has been able to pressure QBs and score points behind Josh Freeman’s better than expected play. I think Freeman will lead the Bucs to their second win.
STL vs. CHI Winner: CHI
St. Louis has had a very hard time scoring points. Chicago should have an easy time passing on them. Steven Jackson is also likely to have a big game, but it won’t be enough.
DET vs. CIN Winner: CIN
Detroit is still trying to pull themselves together. Cincinnati has discovered a strong trio of runningback in Cedric Benson, Larry Johnson and Bernard Scott. They should win this game by a big margin.
TEN at IND Winner: TEN
This is probably a big upset but when you look at the numbers it makes sense. They are 14th in rush defense facing one of the strongest running games in the game. Chris Johnson will run all over the Colts defense, giving Vince Young just enough of a distraction to complete the passes he needs to complete. Titans win as long as they stick to this formula and control the clock.
HOU at JAC Winner: HOU
Houston has been far more explosive in their games than has Jacksonville. The Jags lack of a pass-rush will give Houston all the time they need to pick apart the Jags secondary.
DEN at KC Winner: DEN
Denver looked like they found their mojo again in the Thanksgiving game against the Giants. While playing in Arrowhead Stadium usually gives them problems, Denver Should be able to pull out a win against the rebuilding Chiefs.
NE at MIA Winner: MIA
New England simply can’t win on the road and their defense is rebuilding. Miami is playing well and can pull the upset.
OAK at PIT Winner: PIT
Pittsburgh needs a win to maintain position within the Wildcard race. Against the Raiders, they should get the medicine they need.
NO at WAS Winner: NO
New Orelans is scoring too many points and DeAngelo Hall, the Redskins best corner is not likely to play. Blowout.
SD at CLE Winner: SD
Cleveland is starting to pull itself together. It’s slow but noticeable. Let’s see if it continues in this contest against the Chargers, which they will lose.
DAL at NYG Winner: DAL
Dallas is still struggling to maintain consistency. Their passing game is only explosive when Miles Austin plays well. Their pass rush has come around however, I still think they will have a hard time maintain success into the playoffs. The Giants are struggling even more right now so I think they’ll lose this game but wouldn’t be surprised if they won.
SF at SEA Winner: SF
Seattle is beginning to find a running game with Justin Forsett’s strong running. However, the 49ers are a stronger team and should pound the Seahawks.
MIN at ARI Winner: MIN
Minnesota’s strong running game and potent defense should shut down the Cardinals. Minnesota is simply the stronger team.
GB at BAL Winner: GB
Joe Flacco is struggling and Charles Woodson is the running leader in defensive player of the year race. Flacco will gain experience from this, but it still will result in a loss for the Ravens.
PHI at ATL Winner: PHI
Philly has been playing very over the past few weeks, in-spite of losing Brian Westbrook. Atlanta has been up and down, but is generally playing alright. The main matchup to look for in this game is the play of both passing games. Atlanta has the 27th ranked passing defense, highlighted by having only 8 interceptions to this point in the season. The Eagles on the other hand ranks 9th in pass defense and have 18 total interceptions. That being said, DeSean Jackson and Matt Ryan are both missing this week’s game for their respective teams. This hurts both passing games and means their will be a heavy reliance on LeSean McCoy and Jason Snelling (Michael Turner is unlikely to play). Ultimately I see the Eagles wining in a hard fought game.
CAR at TB Winner: TB
Carolina is starting Matt Moore due to Jake Delhomme’s finger injury and turnover problems. Their strong running game would normally have me picking them for the win however, Tampa Bay has been able to pressure QBs and score points behind Josh Freeman’s better than expected play. I think Freeman will lead the Bucs to their second win.
STL vs. CHI Winner: CHI
St. Louis has had a very hard time scoring points. Chicago should have an easy time passing on them. Steven Jackson is also likely to have a big game, but it won’t be enough.
DET vs. CIN Winner: CIN
Detroit is still trying to pull themselves together. Cincinnati has discovered a strong trio of runningback in Cedric Benson, Larry Johnson and Bernard Scott. They should win this game by a big margin.
TEN at IND Winner: TEN
This is probably a big upset but when you look at the numbers it makes sense. They are 14th in rush defense facing one of the strongest running games in the game. Chris Johnson will run all over the Colts defense, giving Vince Young just enough of a distraction to complete the passes he needs to complete. Titans win as long as they stick to this formula and control the clock.
HOU at JAC Winner: HOU
Houston has been far more explosive in their games than has Jacksonville. The Jags lack of a pass-rush will give Houston all the time they need to pick apart the Jags secondary.
DEN at KC Winner: DEN
Denver looked like they found their mojo again in the Thanksgiving game against the Giants. While playing in Arrowhead Stadium usually gives them problems, Denver Should be able to pull out a win against the rebuilding Chiefs.
NE at MIA Winner: MIA
New England simply can’t win on the road and their defense is rebuilding. Miami is playing well and can pull the upset.
OAK at PIT Winner: PIT
Pittsburgh needs a win to maintain position within the Wildcard race. Against the Raiders, they should get the medicine they need.
NO at WAS Winner: NO
New Orelans is scoring too many points and DeAngelo Hall, the Redskins best corner is not likely to play. Blowout.
SD at CLE Winner: SD
Cleveland is starting to pull itself together. It’s slow but noticeable. Let’s see if it continues in this contest against the Chargers, which they will lose.
DAL at NYG Winner: DAL
Dallas is still struggling to maintain consistency. Their passing game is only explosive when Miles Austin plays well. Their pass rush has come around however, I still think they will have a hard time maintain success into the playoffs. The Giants are struggling even more right now so I think they’ll lose this game but wouldn’t be surprised if they won.
SF at SEA Winner: SF
Seattle is beginning to find a running game with Justin Forsett’s strong running. However, the 49ers are a stronger team and should pound the Seahawks.
MIN at ARI Winner: MIN
Minnesota’s strong running game and potent defense should shut down the Cardinals. Minnesota is simply the stronger team.
GB at BAL Winner: GB
Joe Flacco is struggling and Charles Woodson is the running leader in defensive player of the year race. Flacco will gain experience from this, but it still will result in a loss for the Ravens.
Thursday, December 3, 2009
Prediction for Thursday's Game
NYJ vs. BUF Winner: NYJ
Should the Jets stick to their ground game in the most critical situation and don’t put the pressure on Mark Sanchez to not turn the ball over, they should win this game. Buffalo can pull the upset, but it would take a lot of things going right in a season when everything has gone wrong. They will at least play with some fire though.
Should the Jets stick to their ground game in the most critical situation and don’t put the pressure on Mark Sanchez to not turn the ball over, they should win this game. Buffalo can pull the upset, but it would take a lot of things going right in a season when everything has gone wrong. They will at least play with some fire though.
Wednesday, December 2, 2009
Hall of Fame Nominees Profile: John Randle
John Randle-Minnesota Vikings/Seattle Seahawks-Texas A&I-1990-2003
I kinda understand why he isn’t in already, however that doesn’t mean it should have happened. In his first year of eligibility, he was competing for votes with the all-time sacks leader Bruce Smith, senior committee nominee Claude Humphrey, fellow dominant defensive tackle Cortez Kennedy and pass-rushing demon linebacker Derrick Thomas. With only five spots available for the modern-era candidates and the prevailing theory that no more than two at a position (in this case, pass-rushers) should be inducted in any given class, there was only a slim chance that he would be inducted in that particular class. The main part of this reasoning that I find to fail is that you could only put in at most 2 persons at any position or specialty at one time. Those players who aren’t going in are no better later than they are now. Regardless, as the man who sacked the quarterback more than any other player at the defensive tackle position (137.5), he is an obvious Hall of Famer. A member of the 1990s All-Decade team, seven time Pro Bowler and six time All-Pro, Randle recorded double digit sacks (including a league leading 15.5 in 1997) nine times (including an eight season streak of double digit sacks between 1992 and 1999). These are excellent numbers for a defensive tackle whose main job is normally to stop the running game. The main points of his career that would hurt his chances is the fact that he was a bit of a character. He was known for how much “barking” he did during the course of the game. However, in watching the videos, he was much like Hall of Fame linebacker Mike Singletary and future Hall of Famer Ray Lewis. He talks to help vent his intensity and passion for the game. Another point that hurts his cause is the lack of championship, meaning Super Bowl. Again, this is a poor argument because football is a team game. He will likely get into the hall soon and he better. His numbers speak for themselves.
I kinda understand why he isn’t in already, however that doesn’t mean it should have happened. In his first year of eligibility, he was competing for votes with the all-time sacks leader Bruce Smith, senior committee nominee Claude Humphrey, fellow dominant defensive tackle Cortez Kennedy and pass-rushing demon linebacker Derrick Thomas. With only five spots available for the modern-era candidates and the prevailing theory that no more than two at a position (in this case, pass-rushers) should be inducted in any given class, there was only a slim chance that he would be inducted in that particular class. The main part of this reasoning that I find to fail is that you could only put in at most 2 persons at any position or specialty at one time. Those players who aren’t going in are no better later than they are now. Regardless, as the man who sacked the quarterback more than any other player at the defensive tackle position (137.5), he is an obvious Hall of Famer. A member of the 1990s All-Decade team, seven time Pro Bowler and six time All-Pro, Randle recorded double digit sacks (including a league leading 15.5 in 1997) nine times (including an eight season streak of double digit sacks between 1992 and 1999). These are excellent numbers for a defensive tackle whose main job is normally to stop the running game. The main points of his career that would hurt his chances is the fact that he was a bit of a character. He was known for how much “barking” he did during the course of the game. However, in watching the videos, he was much like Hall of Fame linebacker Mike Singletary and future Hall of Famer Ray Lewis. He talks to help vent his intensity and passion for the game. Another point that hurts his cause is the lack of championship, meaning Super Bowl. Again, this is a poor argument because football is a team game. He will likely get into the hall soon and he better. His numbers speak for themselves.
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